Beijing's Perceptions of US Intentions
The primary aims of this chapter are to analyze Beijing's perceptions of the US & its long-term intentions toward China, & how these impressions are likely to influence Chinese decision making regarding nuclear weapons proliferation. The analysis is based on what has been learned from official & academic publications as well as frequent discussions with Chinese officials for some 20 years. Beyond China's beliefs about US intentions, it is perhaps more important to understand their assessment of US capabilities, since in their view, capability must be met with capability, no matter what the likelihood of action. This task of understanding is not easily accomplished, especially since it is apparent that more than one set of perceptions exists among Chinese policymakers. It can be taken for granted, though, that they all see the US in a quest for continuing hegemony. China is not going to stand still while the US strengthens its capabilities, but will do its own strengthening. It is concluded that the US must choose its actions very carefully to avoid strategic escalation by the Chinese. Taiwan could become an unwanted fuse. J. Stanton
